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TS NATE FRIDAY NIGHT UPDATE

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WTNT21 KNHC 062054
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017
2100 UTC FRI OCT 06 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT EAST OF THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER
* METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA
* NORTHERN AND WESTERN SHORES OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* PUNTA HERRERO TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO
* PINAR DEL RIO
* LAKE MAUREPAS
* WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
* EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY
LINE.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* PUNTA HERRERO TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO
* LAKE MAUREPAS
* EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY
LINE
* WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* EAST OF THE THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* EAST OF THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA
* WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
* ISLE OF YOUTH
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS…CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION…FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE…IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK…PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC…AVAILABLE AT
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN CUBA…THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…AND
THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF NATE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 85.7W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT……. 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…….110NE 80SE 20SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 85.7W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 85.3W
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N 87.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…110NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.8N 88.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT…110NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 29.9N 89.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT…100NE 90SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.1N 87.2W…INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 80SE 50SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 39.5N 78.5W…INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 43.5N 66.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z…DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 85.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Friday, Oct. 5, 6:30 p.m.
Local Information
  • Santa Rosa County is now under a hurricane watch, a tropical storm warning, a storm surge warning and a flash flood watch. There is an elevated threat for tornados tomorrow and tornado watches are likely. Continue to monitor local media for the most up-to-date forecasts throughout the day and follow any safety directives from local emergency management officials.
  • The flash flood watch is in effect through late Sunday night. Nate will bring the potential for heavy rainfall to the area beginning on Saturday late afternoon and continuing through Sunday. Remember, TURN AROUND, DON’T DROWN.
Evacuations
  • A recommended evacuation order has been issued for Zone A based on storm surge, not wind or flooding. This affects all mobile homes, campgrounds, RV parks, and those living in low-lying areas. Know your zone? Check www.santarosa.fl.gov/knowyourzone to see if you are in Zone A.
  • Residents and visitors in the affected area are encouraged to seek refuge on their own initiative and independently obtain safe accommodations, ideally with family or friends in a well-constructed home outside the evacuation zone(s).
  • Based on the storms current projected track, evacuations should be completed by 3 p.m. on Saturday. It may be unsafe to attempt to evacuate after this time.
  • If you are evacuating, think in terms of tens of miles, not hundreds of miles. You can avoid traffic jams and uncertainty that comes with hitting the crowded highways as other counties evacuate and you can avoid the crowds when you return home.
  • Evacuate as quickly as practical and in daylight if possible. Have a backup plan in case you cannot reach your intended location. Keep a full tank of gas in your car.
  • Be alert for washed out roads and bridges. Stay away from downed power lines.
Shelter
  • An emergency shelter will open at 8 a.m. on Saturday at the Milton Community Center, 5629 Byrom Street, Milton. This shelter is a general population, special needs and pet-friendly shelter.
  • If you have special needs, you must be pre-registered in the Special Needs Registry. If you have not already registered, call (850) 983-5360.
  • If you need transportation assistance to a shelter, call (850) 983-4636. We will only provide transportation to this designated shelter.
  • You will need the following items:
    • Personal identification
    • A change of clothing, rain gear and sturdy shoes
    • Toiletries and personal items
    • Blankets or sleeping bags
    • Special items for infants or elderly family members
    • Any special dietary needs and nonperishable foods for snacks
    • Battery operated radio, flashlights and spare batteries
    • Prescription medications or over-the-counter medications typically needed
    • Those with special needs must come with their own caregiver
    • A shelter map and additional tips can be found online
  • If you are bringing a pet, you must bring the pet’s food, water, medications, crate or leash, proof of vaccinations. You must stay at the shelter with your pet. You must also bring a shelter registration form and use agreement (download below):
  • Shelters are opened to ensure your safety. They are crowded and usually uncomfortable and should be used as a last resort.
Road Closures/Toll Updates
  • Beginning at 5 a.m. on Saturday, cash toll collections for Garcon Point Bridge will be managed through toll-by-plate to ensure the safety of toll collection staff. Cash-paying customers will be invoiced for tolls and NOT charged an administrative fee during that period. Cash collection is expected to resume at 5 a.m. Monday. Customers using SunPass and other transponders will not be affected.
  • Choctaw Field Rd. will be closed starting at noon tomorrow, Saturday, due to possible storm surge and expected to reopen on Monday.
  • County road or bridge closures will be posted at www.santarosa.fl.gov.
  • For state road and interstate information, visit www.fl511.com.
Santa Rosa County BOCC
  • At present, all Santa Rosa County offices will be open on Monday.
  • Any change to Monday’s schedule will be made on Sunday and shared through email to staff.
Santa Rosa County School District
  • Friday evening activities will continue as scheduled.
  • Saturday evening events have been cancelled.
  • At present, Santa Rosa County Schools will be in session on Monday.
  • Any change to Monday’s schedule will be made by 6 p.m. Saturday and will be shared through the school district’s social media sites, phone notification to parents and through local media.
Traffic/Roads/Bridges
  • Santa Rosa County works with law enforcement to close bridges for safety at sustained wind speeds (not gusts) typically of 39 mph or greater.
  • FDOT has suspended interstate and highway construction in Santa Rosa County through Sunday, Oct. 8 to allow for the possible increase in traffic. All rail, transit and seaport facilities are functioning as normal. All construction activities will resume Monday, Oct. 9.
  • FDOT will assist first responders with traffic control, detours or road closures, but the department will suspend emergency response activities if Nate’s sustained winds reach tropical storm force of 45 mph or higher. Once conditions improve, crews will go back to working around the clock to clear all roadways.
  • Motorists are encouraged to monitor weather reports and road conditions and to be on the lookout for flooded roads. If the road ahead is flooded, turn around, don’t drown! Find an alternate route. Flooded roads may hide the fact that the roadway is washed out underneath and as little as six inches of rushing water can force your car off the road.
Navarre Pier
  • Navarre Pier will be closed as of 5 p.m. on Saturday unless weather conditions indicate it should close earlier.
  • The Take a Kid Fishing event, Navarre Fishing Rodeo and Fish Navarre Weekend have been rescheduled (pending approval) for October 21 and 22. For more information, visit www.takeakidfishingnavarre.com or www.fishnavarreweekend.com.

Gulf Islands National Seashore:

  • Gulf Islands National Seashore is closed.
  • All gates are closed except for Highway 399 between Pensacola Beach and Navarre.
Pre-Storm Information/Preparations
    • Be safe! Follow all weather advisories.
      • Beachgoers, swimmers and surfers should heed red flag warnings and stay out of the water as deadly rip currents and rough surf conditions are expected.
    • Review, update or make a disaster plan. 
      • Update your photo or video inventory of your home, vehicles and belongings and store online or on your mobile device.
    • Top off your supplies.
      • You should have three to five days’ worth of nonperishable food, medications and at least one gallon of water for each person and pet per day. Remember, you can reuse clean, empty gallon jugs for water. Fill and freeze them to help keep your freezer cold (saves energy too!).
      • Have a good stock of batteries and extra gas for your generator. Test your generator.
    • Check your yard.
      • Look around your house for dead trees or loose limbs which could cause damage in high winds.
    • Sand 
      • Limited supplies of sand are available at several locations. Sand bags are available at local home improvement stores for purchase (Hall’s Hardware in Milton, Lowe’s in Midway and Pace). Bring shovels to fill and load your own bags.
    • Leisure Street at Citrus Drive in Holley By the Sea
    • Tiger Point Park in Gulf Breeze
    • Pace Fire-Rescue in Pace
    • The corner of Pine Forest Road and Carroll Road in Milton

Stay updated. Tracks can change quickly. Tune into local media regularly. 

General information
  • A Local State of Emergency was signed by Commission Chairman Rob Williamson at noon today (Friday).
  • The Emergency Operations Center will be staffed tomorrow (Saturday) at a Level 2 partial activation beginning at 7 a.m. and will remain staffed as needed throughout the storm.
  • A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or higher) are possible within the specified area. A hurricane watch is issued 48 hours in advance of the anticipated onset of tropical-storm-force winds in an area.
  • More information is available in our latest all-hazards disaster guide online or at county offices and libraries, local chambers of commerce, and local retailers.
  • Your best defense in any disaster is a NOAA Weather radio.
  • Citizens may call (850) 983-INFO (4636) with questions.

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