Cristobal is still on track to make landfall along the northern Gulf Coast on Sunday evening. A Tropical Storm WARNING remains in effect for Stone and George Counties in southeast Mississippi, extreme southwest Alabama, and the northwest Florida coast. The flooding rain threat has increased across southeast Mississippi, otherwise, most of the impacts are pretty similar to what we wrote earlier last night.
BEACHES: HIGH risk of rip currents will persist until at least Monday night. High Surf Warning for dangerous 8-11 foot breakers Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.
COASTAL FLOODING: 2-3 feet inundation likely on Sunday and Monday at the time of high tide (10am-2pm). Highest inundation across coastal Alabama on Monday morning. Some of the locations of greatest risk are the west end of Dauphin Island, Causeway over Mobile Bay (both westbound and eastbound lanes), immediate shores of rivers that feed into Mobile Bay, low-lying coastal roads in Bayou La Batre and Coden, and the Ft Pickens area.
RAIN: Heavy rain is likely and flooding is possible Sunday through Monday morning, especially across coastal Alabama and southeast Mississippi where 4-6″ of rain is forecast (isolated totals up to 10 inches possible) with up to 3″ possible across northwest Florida. FLASH FLOOD WATCH expanded to include all of southeast Mississippi, parts of southwest Alabama, and northwest Florida.
WIND: Most likely time of arrival of tropical storm-force winds will be on Sunday for coastal Alabama and southeast Mississippi (could be as early as overnight Saturday into early Sunday morning). Winds will diminish as we go thru the day on Monday.
TORNADO: Greatest potential for a few tornadoes has expanded further into southeast Mississippi, southwest Alabama, and northwest Florida in the Sunday afternoon into early Monday morning.
